The serial interval is estimated as 1.44 (95 this study. Samples were taken by assuming a normal distribution with a standard deviation estimated from the parameters confidence intervals. The above study includes data on the percentage of cases in each year since infection in the form of a figure. This appears to roughly match the original model estimate. As no other estimate is available the point estimate from the original model is used.

sample_model_parameters(incidence_rates = sutherland_incidence_rates,
  population_data = sutherland_data, samples = 100,
  as_sutherland = FALSE)

Arguments

incidence_rates

Incidence rates as formated by sutherland_incidence_rates

population_data

Population data as formated by sutherland_data

samples

Numeric, the number of samples to run. Defaults to 100

as_sutherland

Logical, defaults to FALSE. If TRUE then the original estimates used by sutherland et al. are returned. Note these are point estimates.

Value

A tibble of parameter samples

See also

sample_incidence_rates

Examples

sample_model_parameters()
#> # A tibble: 100 x 4 #> sample incidence_rates per_year_one sym_lag #> <int> <list> <dbl> <dbl> #> 1 1 <list [5]> 0.764 1.62 #> 2 2 <list [5]> 0.764 1.57 #> 3 3 <list [5]> 0.764 1.46 #> 4 4 <list [5]> 0.764 1.48 #> 5 5 <list [5]> 0.764 1.56 #> 6 6 <list [5]> 0.764 1.42 #> 7 7 <list [5]> 0.764 1.62 #> 8 8 <list [5]> 0.764 1.44 #> 9 9 <list [5]> 0.764 1.50 #> 10 10 <list [5]> 0.764 1.41 #> # … with 90 more rows