presentations

Presentations from 2022

Evaluating an epidemiologically motivated surrogate model of a multi-model ensemble - EU COVID-19 Forecast Hub November meeting

Slides from a talk to the EU COVID-19 Forecast Hub on our recent preprint Evaluating an epidemiologically motivated surrogate model of a multi-model ensemble.

Training experts to be forecasters

Slides from my talk on training experts to be forecasts as part of the EA lightning talks sesssion. See the full article here.

Evaluating a simplified forecast model in comparison to the ECDC forecasting hub ensemble

Slides for my talk to the June 30th Epiforecasts group meeting on some in progress work developing a surrogate model for the ECDC forecast hub ensemble.

Real-time estimation of the effective reproduction number

Slides from my talk “Real-time estimation of the effective reproduction” as part of the CNVAC 2022 Seminar series.

Hierarchical nowcasting of counts with an application to COVID-19 hospitalisations in Germany

Slides from my talk “Hierarchical nowcasting of counts with an application to COVID-19 hospitalisations in Germany” given at SACEMA as part of an in-person visit.

A shorter version of this talk was also given at UseR 2022 as part of the forecasting and nowcasting session. Slides are available here.

How can governments plan for the next pandemic?

Slides for my talk “Real-time analysis case studies” given at the LSHTM Symposium How can mathematical and statistical models combine with big data to improve our response to pandemics.

Stan - an introduction without the scary parts

Slides for my talk “Stan - an introduction without the scary parts” given at the LSHTM CMMID statistical inference February meeting.